In short, if we go Mathematics with the Monty Hall Problem, we get 1/2 of chance of winning, since if the door we chose first is the door they chose, only sticking to our first choice will return win, but we have stick or swap (2 possible choices, only one wins). If the door we chose first is not the one they chose, we only win if we swap, what is one in two again (2 possible choices, only one wins). In this way, 2 wins/4 possible choices or 1/2.
If we go Optimisation, we have 9 possible cases and 3/9 win and that means sticking and 6/9 win and that means swapping, so that 1/3 means sticking and 2/3 means swapping, and, from there, we recommend always swapping as a good strategy.
Do you believe that Optimisation could return a different result? Then please read Optimum, since, first of all, not all is to be believed.
Do you believe that Optimisation could return a different result? Then please read Optimum, since, first of all, not all is to be believed.
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